Clausura 2017 Relegation Watch: Two Games Remaining

The Clausura 2017 relegation fight is set to come right down to the wire. With two games left to play, there are four teams still mathematically involved in the relegation fight: Monarcas Morelia, Jaguares de Chiapas, Veracruz, and Puebla.

Current relegation standings:

15 Puebla 118 100 1.1800
16 Veracruz 114 100 1.1400
17 Jaguares 113 100 1.1300
18 Morelia 112 100 1.1200

Puebla is all-but-mathematically safe; the only way for the Poblanos to go down would be for them to lose both remaining games while Morelia, Jaguares, and Veracruz all won both of their remaining games – while overcoming a sizable goal-difference deficit.

Relegation is essentially between Morelia, Jaguares, and Veracruz, with just two points separating those three, and all the pressure is on Morelia, who have dropped back into last place in the Tabla de Cociente.

If Morelia wins this weekend, the relegation fight will come down to the final game, regardless of the others’ results.

If Morelia loses, Veracruz and Jaguares can save themselves – and condemn the Monarquía – with wins.

If Morelia draws, a Veracruz win would save the Tiburones Rojos, but Jaguares would still be in the fight even with a win of their own.

This weekend’s games to watch are:

Veracruz vs Monterrey (Friday, 10 PM, Azteca America)
Jaguares de Chiapas vs Santos Laguna (Saturday, 6 PM, Univision Deportes / ESPN Deportes)
Monarcas Morelia vs Pumas UNAM (Saturday, 8 PM, Azteca America)
Puebla vs Necaxa (Sunday, 7 PM, Univision Deportes).

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2 thoughts on “Clausura 2017 Relegation Watch: Two Games Remaining

  1. Jeremy Masten

    It’s remarkable that only Puebla is mathematically eliminated from the Liguilla. How likely do you think it is that somebody could both make the Liguilla and get relegated?

    Reply
    1. Alex Post author

      Technically, it’s impossible for that to happen; if the relegated team finishes in the top 8, their spot in the Liguilla is taken by the 9th-placed finisher. It’s against the rules for the relegated team to participate in the playoffs.

      Having said that, I think it’s possible that Veracruz or Morelia could make the top 8. They’re both just two points out of it, and they have a lot of motivation to win out! Jaguares are mathematically still in the running, but only mathematically; too much needs to happen for them to realistically have a chance of finishing in the top 8.

      Reply

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